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020 _a9780141034591
024 3 _a9781400063512
035 _a(BD-JhCC)12059
040 _aDLC
_cDLC
_dBAKER
_dBTCTA
_dGK8
_dOCO
_dC#P
_dMYG
_dOrLoB-B
_dBD-JhCC
049 _aMYGG
050 0 0 _aQ375.T35 2007
082 0 0 _a003/.54
_222
_bTAL 2010
100 1 _aTaleb, Nassim Nicholas,
_d1960-
245 1 4 _aThe black swan :
_bthe impact of the highly improbable /
_cNassim Nicholas Taleb.
260 _aNew York :
_bPenguin Book,
_cc2007.
300 _axxxii, 444 p. :
_bill. ;
_c25 cm.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _aunmediated
_bn
_2rdamedia
338 _avolume
_bnc
_2rdacarrier
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references (p. [331]-358) and index.
505 0 0 _gPt. 1.
_tUmberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation --
_gCh. 1.
_tThe apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic --
_gCh. 2.
_tYevgenia's black swan --
_gCh. 3.
_tThe speculator and the prostitute --
_gCh. 4.
_tOne thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker --
_gCh. 5.
_tConfirmation shmonfirmation! --
_gCh. 6.
_tThe narrative fallacy --
_gCh. 7.
_tLiving in the antechamber of hope --
_gCh. 8.
_tGlacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence --
_gCh. 9.
_tThe ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd --
_gPt. 2.
_tWe just can't predict --
_gCh. 10.
_tThe scandal of prediction --
_gCh. 11.
_tHow to look for bird poop --
_gCh. 12.
_tEpistemocracy, a dream --
_gCh. 13.
_tAppelles the painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? --
_gPt. 3.
_tThose gray swans of Extremistan --
_gCh. 14.
_tFrom Mediocristan to Extremistan, and back --
_gCh. 15.
_tThe bell curve, that great intellectual fraud --
_gCh. 16.
_tThe aesthetics of randomness --
_gCh. 17.
_tLocke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places --
_gCh. 18.
_tThe uncertainty of the phony --
_gPt. 4.
_tThe end --
_gCh. 19.
_tHalf and half, or how to get even with the black swan --
_tEpilogue : Yevgenia's white swans.
650 0 _aUncertainty (Information theory)
_xSocial aspects.
650 0 _aForecasting.
910 _amjy070521
942 _2ddc
_cBK
949 0 _4IP
_ad
_bDEW
_cSTACK
_o0
_p39080032325117
_x01
_hQ375.T35 2007