TY  - BOOK
AU  - Taleb,Nassim Nicholas
TI  - The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable 
SN  - 9780141034591
AV  - Q375.T35 2007 
U1  - 003/.54 22
PY  - 2007///
CY  - New York
PB  - Penguin Book
KW  - Uncertainty (Information theory)
KW  - Social aspects
KW  - Forecasting
N1  - Includes bibliographical references (p. [331]-358) and index; Pt. 1; Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation --; Ch. 1; The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic --; Ch. 2; Yevgenia's black swan --; Ch. 3; The speculator and the prostitute --; Ch. 4; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker --; Ch. 5; Confirmation shmonfirmation! --; Ch. 6; The narrative fallacy --; Ch. 7; Living in the antechamber of hope --; Ch. 8; Glacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence --; Ch. 9; The ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd --; Pt. 2; We just can't predict --; Ch. 10; The scandal of prediction --; Ch. 11; How to look for bird poop --; Ch. 12; Epistemocracy, a dream --; Ch. 13; Appelles the painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? --; Pt. 3; Those gray swans of Extremistan --; Ch. 14; From Mediocristan to Extremistan, and back --; Ch. 15; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud --; Ch. 16; The aesthetics of randomness --; Ch. 17; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places --; Ch. 18; The uncertainty of the phony --; Pt. 4; The end --; Ch. 19; Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan --; Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans
ER  -