The black swan :
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 1960-
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Nassim Nicholas Taleb. - New York : Penguin Book, c2007. - xxxii, 444 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
Includes bibliographical references (p. [331]-358) and index.
Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation -- The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic -- Yevgenia's black swan -- The speculator and the prostitute -- One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker -- Confirmation shmonfirmation! -- The narrative fallacy -- Living in the antechamber of hope -- Glacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence -- The ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict -- The scandal of prediction -- How to look for bird poop -- Epistemocracy, a dream -- Appelles the painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan -- From Mediocristan to Extremistan, and back -- The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud -- The aesthetics of randomness -- Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places -- The uncertainty of the phony -- The end -- Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans. Pt. 1. Ch. 1. Ch. 2. Ch. 3. Ch. 4. Ch. 5. Ch. 6. Ch. 7. Ch. 8. Ch. 9. Pt. 2. Ch. 10. Ch. 11. Ch. 12. Ch. 13. Pt. 3. Ch. 14. Ch. 15. Ch. 16. Ch. 17. Ch. 18. Pt. 4. Ch. 19.
9780141034591
9781400063512
Uncertainty (Information theory)--Social aspects.
Forecasting.
Q375.T35 2007
003/.54 / TAL 2010
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Nassim Nicholas Taleb. - New York : Penguin Book, c2007. - xxxii, 444 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
Includes bibliographical references (p. [331]-358) and index.
Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation -- The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic -- Yevgenia's black swan -- The speculator and the prostitute -- One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker -- Confirmation shmonfirmation! -- The narrative fallacy -- Living in the antechamber of hope -- Glacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence -- The ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict -- The scandal of prediction -- How to look for bird poop -- Epistemocracy, a dream -- Appelles the painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan -- From Mediocristan to Extremistan, and back -- The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud -- The aesthetics of randomness -- Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places -- The uncertainty of the phony -- The end -- Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans. Pt. 1. Ch. 1. Ch. 2. Ch. 3. Ch. 4. Ch. 5. Ch. 6. Ch. 7. Ch. 8. Ch. 9. Pt. 2. Ch. 10. Ch. 11. Ch. 12. Ch. 13. Pt. 3. Ch. 14. Ch. 15. Ch. 16. Ch. 17. Ch. 18. Pt. 4. Ch. 19.
9780141034591
9781400063512
Uncertainty (Information theory)--Social aspects.
Forecasting.
Q375.T35 2007
003/.54 / TAL 2010